College Football Week 5 Predictions

It’s time for Week 5, and a full slate of college football! That can only mean one thing – it’s time for predictions. Lots of good football and interesting match-ups. Be sure to check out the ATS picks at the end.


Top 25

(25) Kansas State 31 Texas Tech 28

This game will have a massive impact in the Big 12. Kansas State is coming off a big win vs Oklahoma and Texas Tech defeated Texas. I believe this will be a back and forth game but I like Deuce Vaughn and the Wildcats to win a close one.

(24) Pittsburgh 38 Georgia Tech 14

How will Georgia Tech play now that Geoff Collins is gone? I believe they’ll have some fight but to be honest they just aren’t that good. Pittsburgh is a legitimate contender in the coastal and they should win this one easily.

(23) Florida state 38 (22) Wake Forest 35

This game will be one of the best in Week 5. Florida State is undefeated and looking to be a legitimate contender in the Atlantic while Wake Forest is coming off a close loss to Clemson in OT. I believe this game is high scoring with multiple lead changes but I like the way Jordan Travis and the Noles are playing so I’m going with them.

(21) Minnesota 31 Purdue 24

Minnesota is undefeated and playing spectacular this season and I’m going to trust them to win this one. The Gophers have a solid Defense, experienced QB & one of the top RBs in CFB. Purdue is a 12 point underdog and I believe they cover the spread but Minnesota is the better team.

(19) BYU 42 Utah State 14

Utah State has been disappointing this season and I don’t think they have enough firepower to stick around with BYU. The Cougars could be getting some key pieces back at WR and they win big in this one.

(18) Oklahoma 35 TCU 31

I believe TCU is better than they get credit for and they’ll play tough in this game but Oklahoma will get back on track with a close win.

Mississippi State 28 (17) Texas A&M 21

Last week my principal of the unranked team as the favorite winning didn’t work when Iowa State lost to Baylor. Earlier this season it did work when Washington defeated Michigan State. I’m going to trust my principal this week and roll with Mississippi State in a lower scoring game.

(15) Washington 31 UCLA 30

My model loves UCLA to cover the 3 points. My brain is telling me Washington is the better team and I’m going to trust myself while also trusting my model. Give me Michael Penix Jr and the Huskies by 1.

(13) Oregon 35 Stanford 21

Oregon had an amazing comeback win last week vs Washington State while Stanford continues to stumble. The Cardinal will be without star RB E.J. Smith for the rest of the season and I can’t see them defeating the Ducks here.

(12) Utah 38 Oregon State 24

Oregon State has been really good this season and almost pulled off an upset of USC last week. As much as I like the Beavers I have to trust myself because I know the Utes are the much better team. I believe Utah not only wins but they cover the 10 point spread.

(11) Penn State 45 Northwestern 10

It’s not a lot to say about this game, Penn State is good and Northwestern isn’t. I believe the Nittany Lions win big.

(9) Oklahoma State 28 (16) Baylor 24

This game is going to be spectacular and it’s almost impossible to predict but I’m going to trust my model and pick the Cowboys to win. Oklahoma State will need a massive game from Spencer Sanders if they want to win this game.

(14) Ole Miss 31 (7) Kentucky 24

College Gameday will be in Oxford this week and this is a big opportunity for the Rebels to shine. My formula loves Ole Miss to win and cover the spread. I know a lot of people won’t be on Ole Miss -6, the public loves Kentucky +6.

(6) USC 38 Arizona State 17

The Trojans have forced a lot of turnovers this season and I believe they continue to do so vs the SunDevils. Caleb Williams and Jordan Addison should have big games and the Trojans win by three TDs.

(5) Clemson 24 (10) NC State 17

My model loves the Tigers to win and cover this spread but it’s not something I’m too confident in. I believe the Wolfpack are a very good team and capable of winning this game. The weather could play a factor but I’m no meteorologist so I’m making this prediction as if the weather was normal.

(4) Michigan 20 Iowa 10

This game will be a defensive game and should stay under 40 total points. Michigan is the better team but the Hawkeyes have an incredible defense capable of making big plays & forcing turnovers.

(3) Ohio State 52 Rutgers 7

This game shouldn’t be close, the Buckeyes have too much firepower on Offense and an improved Defense.

(2) Alabama 35 (20) Arkansas 21

Last week I picked Texas A&M to win vs Arkansas and they did but I love the toughness the Razorbacks play with and KJ Jefferson impresses me. I believe Alabama wins this game but the Razorbacks keep it close and cover the spread.

(1) Georgia 45 Missouri 10

Missouri has been very disappointing this season and they’ll continue to look bad this week vs Georgia, give me the Dawgs by five TDs.


Best Unranked Games

(Photo by Jeff Huehn).
  • Houston 34 Tulane 30
  • UTSA 38 MTSU 31
  • Wisconsin 24 Illinois 14
  • Air Force 21 Navy 10
  • Ball State 31 Northern Illinois 28
  • Iowa State 35 Kansas 28
  • Maryland 30 Michigan State 20
  • UCF 34 SMU 28
  • Old Dominion 27 Liberty 24
  • UVA 28 Duke 24
  • Texas 31 West Virginia 28
  • Washington State 27 California 24
  • CCU 38 Georgia Southern 35

Remaining Games

  • South Carolina 45 South Carolina State 14
  • San Diego State 17 Boise State 14
  • UNC 38 Virginia Tech 24
  • UNLV 36 New Mexico 14
  • Army 31 Georgia State 28
  • Louisville 31 Boston College 17
  • Memphis 34 Temple 17
  • JMU 38 Texas State 17
  • EMU 31 UMass 14
  • ECU 38 USF 31
  • Bowling Green 28 Akron 24
  • Toledo 35 CMU 26
  • Fresno State 41 UConn 20
  • Miami OH 37 Buffalo 27
  • Kent State 45 Ohio 35
  • FAU 38 North Texas 31
  • South Alabama 31 Louisiana 28
  • Syracuse 52 Wagner 7
  • Charlotte 30 UTEP 27
  • Cincinnati 31 Tulsa 24
  • Arkansas State 27 ULM 24
  • LSU 31 Auburn 14
  • WKU 34 Troy 27
  • Nebraska 31 Indiana 24
  • SJSU 24 Wyoming 21
  • UAB 31 Rice 23
  • New Mexico State 38 FIU 20
  • Arizona 36 Colorado 14
  • Florida 49 EWU 14

Free ATS Picks

Last Week: 7-1
Season Total: 31-18-2 (62%)

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  • UCLA +3
  • Wisconsin -7
  • Ole Miss -6.5
  • Iowa +11
  • Purdue +13
  • Texas Tech +7.5
  • Texas State +22
  • Ball State +5
  • Utah -10
  • UMass +20
  • Akron +10
  • Iowa State -3
  • Oklahoma State +3
  • ODU +3.5
  • Stanford +17
  • Arizona State +27